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Short Course COPULA'17

 Short Course

COPULAS FOR HYDROLOGY
AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Nanjing, China, August 13-19, 2017

The statistical modeling of natural events frequently involves the modeling of the joint distribution of several random phenomena. Copulas are mathematical objects that are particularly suitable for modeling the multivariate dependence between several continuous random variables, independently of their marginal distributions. This explains why they are more and more often used in hydrology and environmental sciences. With the development of powerful statistical software (such as the R statistical system), a multivariate analysis based on copulas appears increasingly feasible. This one-week short course will focus on the theory and statistical practice of copulas with applications to hydrological problems and related environmental issues. It will also contain an introduction to multivariate extreme-value theory from a copula perspective. Theoretical concepts will be illustrated through the analysis of real-world datasets using the R statistical system.
The event is organized by the International Commission on Statistical Hydrology.
It is hosted by College of Hydrology and Water Resources & State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, China.

 Application deadline: February 28, 2017

 

Program

Instructors and Organizing Committee

Application and Fees Venue

 


 

PROGRAM

Sunday, August 13

Arriving at Hohai University, Nanjing (shuttle available for participants at Nanjing International Airport, Nanjing South Railway Station and Nanjing Railway Station).

7:00 pm: Welcome Dinner.

Monday, August 14

9-12am:
General refresh on univariate and multivariate statistics.

2-5 pm:
Introduction to the R statistical system.

Tuesday, August 15

9-12 am:
Introduction to the theory of copulas [definition, properties, measures of association, conditioning, construction of copulas].

2-5 pm:
Estimation of copulas from data [method of moments, maximum pseudo-likelihood, R examples].

5-6 pm:
Projects - Data presentations, target of the projects.

Social Dinner

Wednesday, August 16

9-12 am:
Goodness-of-fit and related tests for copulas [with R examples].

2-5 pm:
Projects - presentation of data provided by students - discussion of specific and common problems.

Thursday, August 17

9-12 am:
Applications of copulas in environmental sciences [multivariate Return Periods, multivariate Hazard Scenarios, multivariate Failure Probabilities, multivariate Structural risk assessment, problems of Ties, Basin similarity].

2-4 pm:
Serially dependent data, stationarity problems, Distributional Change-Point tests.

4-6 pm: Projects

Friday, August 18

9-12 am: Projects

2-5 pm:
Project presentations

Chinese Culture Excursion & Social Dinner

Saturday, August 19

Morning: Departure (transfer to Nanjing International Airport, Nanjing South Railway Station and Nanjing Railway Station).

 


INSTRUCTORS

Salvatore Grimaldi, Università della Tuscia, Italy Gianfausto Salvadori, Università del Salento, Italy Fabrizio Durante, Università del Salento, Italy Zhongmin Liang, Hohai University, China

 

ORGANIZING COMMITTEE

Prof. Yuanfang Chen, Hohai University, email: 19870056@hhu.edu.cn
Prof. Tao Yang, Hohai University, email: enigama2000@hhu.edu.cn
Prof Liliang Ren, Hohai University, email: rll@hhu.edu.cn
Dr. Fei Yuan, Hohai University, email:
fyuan@hhu.edu.cn
Dr. Qin Huang, Hohai University, email: 20140015@hhu.edu.cn

 


APPLICATION AND FEES

Applications

If you wish to attend the summer school, please send us the following information:

Name and Surname

Position (graduate student, PhD, other)
Contact data (address, email, phone number)

In addition, a brief curriculum vitae, a short description of your previous experience with statistics, and the intended application of copulas should be attached to your application.

Please send your application to:
Dr Fei Yuan, Hohai University Email: fyuan@hhu.edu.cn;
and
Yuanfang Chen (19870056@hhu.edu.cn),
Salvatore Grimaldi (salvatore.grimaldi@unitus.it),
Gianfausto Salvadori (gianfausto.salvadori@unisalento.it)
Fabrizio Durante (fabrizio.durante@unibz.it).

Fees  

Successful applicants who have submitted the required documents before the deadline will have to pay:

550Basic registration.
680
Intermediate registration A.
710
Intermediate registration B.
810
Full registration A.
870
Full registration B.

Basic registration includes:
- Transfer from Nanjing International Airport, Nanjing South Railway Station and Nanjing Railway Station to Hohai University on Sunday, August 13; and transfer from Hohai University to Nanjing International Airport, Nanjing South Railway Station and Nanjing Railway Station on Saturday, August 17.
- Coffee break
- Lunches and dinners (including 2 social dinners)

Intermediate registration A includes:
The basic registration conditions + breakfast + accommodation in a twin-bedded room (shared) in Jindun Hotel (3-star) for six nights.

Intermediate registration B includes:
The basic registration conditions + breakfast + accommodation in a twin-bedded room (shared) in Hohai University International Conference Center & Hotel (4-star) for six nights.

Full registration A includes
The basic registration conditions + breakfast + accommodation in a private (single or double) room in
Jindun Hotel (3-star) for six nights

Full registration B includes
The basic registration conditions + breakfast + accommodation in a private (single or double) room in Hohai University International Conference Center & Hotel (4-star) for six nights

The participants, who will take intermediate registration A or B, should look for their roommates by themselves, and should inform the organizing committee that who will share the room when making registration.

Payment
Once your application is approved, you will be sent an email explaining how to register and make the payment.


 

VENUE

 

 

The summer school will take place in the lovely historical town of Nanjing, East China (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nanjing) and it is hosted by College of Hydrology and Water Resources of Hohai Univeristy (http://en.hhu.edu.cn).
The lectures will take place in the building of Graduate School of Hohai University (Wentian Building). Accommodation will be arranged in Jindun Hotel (3-star) and Hohai University International Conference Center & Hotel (4-star) which are close to the main gate of Hohai University and 500 m far from the lecture place (10 min by foot).

How to come to the venue place?
We will provide to participants the transfer by shuttle bus from Nanjing Lukou International Airport, Nanjing South Railway Station and Nanjing Railway Station to Hohai University (Jindun Hotel and Hohai
University International Conference Center & Hotel) on August 13 and vice-versa on August 19.

The nearest airports are Nanjing Lukou International Airport, Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport. Nanjing Lukou International Airport has direct international flights from a few flight hubs such as Frankfurt, Sydney, Los Angeles, Hong Kong, Singapore, Seoul, Tokyo, Osaka, and Bangkok, and has many flights from Beijing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. It is strongly suggested that international participants use these flight connections to reach Nanjing. Participants arriving at Shanghai Pudong International Airport should take the airport shuttle or taxi to Shanghai Hongqiao Railway Station and then take the high-speed train to Nanjing Railway Station or Nanjing South Railway Station (1 hour 7 mins to 2 hours). Participants arriving at Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport can directly walk to Shanghai Hongqiao Railway Stations (5 mins) and then take the high-speed train to Nanjing Railway Station or Nanjing South Railway Station.

 

    

PATRONAGE



Ministero dell'Ambiente e della Tutela del Territorio e del Mare



Institute for Environmental Protection and Research


H2CU
 Honors Center of Italian Universities - H2CU 
Sapienza University of Rome



University of Tuscia,
Viterbo, Italy

 

 
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