STAHY OFFICIAL WOKSHOP
Avances in Statistical Hydrology
Taormina (Sicily), Italy
May 23-25, 2010
The workshop involved 28 oral contributions and 30 posters and was attended by 80 people from 24 countries.
Two really interesting invited lectures were held by prof. Vijay Singh and Prof. Jose D. Salas on entropy theory and long memory linear modeling.
Particularly interesting was the round table, managed by prof. G. Rossi, in memory of Prof. V. Yevjevich. Many colleagues gave their contribution either about the extraordinary life and about the research activity of this father of hydrology.
All the participants delivered interesting presentations underlined by a rich discussion.
Following the oral session a discussion was stimulated with the aim to identify future topics to potentially include in the STAHY initiatives. Among others it was clear that it could be useful to include in the next initiatives:
time series analysis, long range dependence, linear and non linear modelling, uncertainty analysis, regionalization procedures.
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A special thanks to the University of Catania, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering for the wonderful organization and warm hospitality, in particular to:
Antonino Cancelliere, Giuseppe Rossi, David J. Peres, Antonio Castano, Sandra Lazzarini, Leila Castiglione, Brunella Bonaccorso and Vincenzo Nicolosi.
Introduction
Welcome by University of Catania
Luigi Fortuna, Dean of Engineering School
Welcome by IAHS representative
Pierre Hubert, General Secretary of IAHS
Annual STAHY working group report
Salvatore Grimaldi, Chair of STAHY working group
Workshop presentation
Antonino Cancelliere, President of Local Organizing Committee & STAHY member
Round table
“The legacy of Prof. V. Yevjevich”
Tina Dasic, Jovan Despotovic, Jasna Plavsic, University of Belgrade, Serbia
Jose D. Salas, Colorado State University , USA
Vijay P. Singh, Texas A and M University, India (download the presentation)
Francisco Gomide, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Brazil
Geoff Pegram University of KwaZulu-Natal , South Africa
Giuseppe Rossi, Università degli Studi di Catania, Italy
ORAL SESSIONS
Invited lecture: Prof. V.P. Singh "Hydrologic Synthesis using entropy theory"
Session I: Non stationarity and changes in hydrology
Chairman: Demetris Koutsoyiannis (download the tribute to Vit Klemes)
Abrate, Hubert and Sighomnou
A study on the hydrological annual time series of the Niger River
Marani
The detection of weekly preferential occurrences in rainfall
Mehrotra, Johnson, Westra and Sharma
Climate change impacts at the catchment scale: The need for GCM nested bias correction and stochastic downscaling
Sunyer, Madsen and Yamagata
On the use of statistical downscaling for assessing climate change impacts on hydrology (download the presentation)
Session II: Fitting and uncertainty assessment in statistical hydrological model
Chairman: Geoff Pegram
Das and Cunnane
Examination of homogeneity of selected Irish pooling groups
Deidda
A Multiple Threshold Method for fitting the Generalized Pareto Distribution (download the presentation)
Papalexiou, Koutsoyiannis and Montanari
Mind the bias! (download the presentation)
Thyer, Renard, Kavetski and Kuczera
Can hydrological model predictions be improved by developing streamflow measurement error models using rating curve data?
Weijs and Van de Giesen
Information theory, uncertainty and risk for evaluating hydrologic predictions (download the presentation)
Westra and Sharma
An upper limit to seasonal precipitation predictability?
Markiewicz, Strupczewski and Kochanek
On accuracy of upper quantiles estimation (download the presentation)
Session III: Time series analysis and multivariate methods for hydrological modelling and forecasting
Chairman: Baldassare Bacchi
Bardossy and Pegram
Interpolation and simulation of Daily Rainfall observations based on Copulas and Circulation Pattern
De Michele and Salvadori
Multivariate Extreme Value models in hydrology: a copula approach
Mediero, Garrote and Jiménez
Design flood hydrographs from the relationship between flood peak and volume
Vandenberghe, Verhoest and De Baets
Properties and performance of a copula-based design storm generator (download the presentation)
De Luca and Versace
Stochastic models for rainfall nowcasting
De Souza, Da Serra Costa, Xavier, Piñeiro Maceira and Machado Damázio
PREVIVAZ – Improving Weekly Streamflow Time Series Forecasts with the Current Hydrologic State of the River Basin (download the presentation)
Bacchi and Balistrocchi
Assessing the dependence of rainfall variables by copula functions
Session IV: Analysis and modelling of hydrological processes
Chairman: Pierre Hubert
Roth, Ghizzoni and Rudari
Multivariate skew-t description of flood events
Montesarchio, Russo, Napolitano, Lombardo and Baldini
Study on the rainfall dependence structure using radar and rain gauge data (download the presentation)
Oueslati, De Girolamo, Abouabdillah and Lo Porto
Attempts to flow regime classification and characterisation in Mediterranean streams
Pui, Westra and Sharma
How does the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other climate modes affect multi-scale temporal rainfall variability in East Australia?
Wang, Onof and Maksimović
Analysis of sub-daily rainfall sequences based upon a deterministic multiplicative cascade method
Invited lecture: Prof. J.D. Salas "Hydrologic variability and change: the role of stochastic hydrology"
Session V: Extreme events in geophysical processes
Chairman: Witold G. Strupczewski
Lee and Ouarda
Use of Empirical Mode Decomposition for the prediction of hydrometeorological extremes
Botero and Francés
Comparison of high return period flood-quantiles estimated with upper bounded distribution functions, including Non Systematic information. Application to Mediterranean rivers
Rossi, Garrote and Caporali
Probabilistic definition of drought risk indicators for water supply systems in Central Tuscany
POSTER SESSION
Montesarchio and Napolitano
A single-site rainfall disaggregation model based on entropy
Boccafoschi and Rejtano
Flood predictions downstream of a river confluence by bivariate analysis of incoming flows
Peres, Nicolosi, Foti and Cancelliere
Significant wave height time series reconstruction by neural networks and reanalysis data
Bonaccorso, Cancelliere, Rossi
Effect of trends on the estimation of hydrological quantiles
Buttafuoco, Caloiero and Coscarelli
Assessing spatial uncertainty of reference evapotranspiration using stochastic simulation in southern Italy (Calabria region) (download the poster)
Plavcova and Kyselý
Are biases in daily precipitation statistics in climate model simulations conditioned by large-scale atmospheric circulation?
De Michele, Vezzoli, Pecora and Zenoni
Multivariate frequency analysis of droughts via copulas
Dias Jardim Penna, Pineiro, Machado Damazio
Definition of the streamflow scenario tree for long-term operation planning studies of hydrothermal power generation system (download the poster)
Ranzi, Barontini, Ferri and Bacchi
A stochastic approach to assess hydro-geotechnical uncertainty in flood risk mapping
Rianna, Russo and Napolitano
Using the Stochastic Index method for calculation of flow duration curves on ephemeral basins
Ellouze-Gargouri and Bargaoui
Sensitivity analysis using multivariate approach for a rainfall–runoff model of Geomorphological Unit Instantaneous Hydrograph type
Fatichi, Ivanov and Caporali
Simulating hydro-meteorological variables across a range of temporal scales with a Weather Generator
Ridolfi, Montesarchio, Russo, Napolitano and Lombardo
Evaluation of rainfall network using entropy over the urban area of Rome
Fernández and Quiroga
Analysing hydrological risk and water policies implications on crop production in the Ebro River basin in Spain
Rossi, De Luca, Furcolo, Villani and Vitolo
Extreme rainfall and floods in a Mediterranean area (download the poster)
Ganora, Laio and Claps
An approach to propagate streamflow statistics along the river network
Sebastianelli, Russo and Napolitano
Comparison between radar and rain gauges data at different distances from radar and correlation existing between the rainfall values in the adjacent pixels
Tomei, Antolini, Tomozeiu, Pavan, VIllani, Marletto,
Analisys of precipitation in Emilia Romagna (Italy) and impacts of climate change
Gregersen, Arnbjerg-Nielsen and Madsen
Parametric analysis of regional trends in observed extreme rainfall in Denmark (download the poster)
Hassanzadeh, Eslamian, Abdolhosseini and Grimaldi
Application of L-moment for Estimation of Quantile Mixtures (download the poster)
Van den Berg, Vandenberghe, De Baets and Verhoest
Copula-based scaling of rainfall fields
Van Nooijen and Kolechkina
A comparison of fitting methods and tests for several distributions on computer generated samples (download the poster)
Van Nooijen, Gubareva and Kolechkina
A comparison of fitting methods and tests for several distributions on hydrological data (download the poster)
Viola, Noto, Cannarozzo and La Loggia
Regional flow duration curves for ungauged sites in Sicily (download the poster)
Kochanek, Strupczewski and Markiewicz
Conquer the impossibility! How to derive the linear moments for distributions inexpressible in inverse form
Vircavs and Veinbergs
Modelling of groundwater level fluctuations in agricultural monitoring stations with conceptual two dimensional mathematical model METUL (download the poster)
Kysely, Gaal, Beranova and Plavcova
Estimating precipitation extremes in climate change simulations by the region-of-influence method
Volpi, Lombardo and Napolitano
Study on scaling regimes of rainfall time-series from a dense raingage network
Laio, Allamano and Claps
Revisiting the maximum-value test for the frequency analysis of extreme events (download the poster)
Westra, Mehrotra, Sharma and Srikanthan
Continuous Rainfall Simulation: Estimation at Ungauged Location